Showing posts with label probabilities. Show all posts
Showing posts with label probabilities. Show all posts

Wednesday, July 7, 2010

Forex and Stock Market

We should remember that success of the workers in financial institutions depends on how many people they attract into the business of trading and how many transactions these clients make. They have direct financial interest therefore their opinions can be biased. Some of the widely known opinions are: 

In Forex traders burn out much quicker than in stock market. 

There are trading systems that allow anyone to become a millionaire quickly.


Let's consider these opinions more closely. I couldn't find any reliable statistical data about participants in Forex and stock market that would have the following parameters.


1. The number of traders who start trading. Percentage of traders who continue to trade after one, two and tree years. How successful their trading is.

2. Relationship between beginning balance of their account and ending balance.

3. Relationship between method of trading and success rate.


There is no reliable statistics on these parameters. Only opinions and estimated guesses. The reason for the absence of such statistical data is understandable. It's a commercial secret. Nevertheless I can confidently say that there is no dramatic difference between trading Forex and trading stocks. There is no difference in opportunities to earn money as well to lose money in those markets. There is no or very little difference between them because in financial market you trade risks and probabilities not currencies, stocks and futures. The difference can be only in the rules of game, methods of execution of transactions, and liquidity of the market.